Cascadia Earthquake Prediction 2024 Today. If an earthquake identical to the 1700 great cascadia earthquake were to occur today it would have significant impacts. New research published in june in science advances provides a more detailed map of the cascadia subduction zone that hints the megathrust fault is not just one continuous structure, but is divided into at least four segments, each potentially somewhat insulated against movements of the others.
Scientists estimate there is a 37% likelihood of a 7.0 magnitude or higher earthquake in the next 50 years, while there is a 14% chance of a 9.0 magnitude or higher earthquake in the same. A new study of the cascadia subduction zone from california to vancouver island reveals the smoother, flatter fault line off the b.c.